Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 45.1% vs Zuccarello 48.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zuccarello 54.2%
Defensive zone
Zary 61.4%
Neutral zone
Zary 53.9%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Zary
Zuccarello
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zary
Zuccarello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zuccarello
0
1
Zary
Zuccarello
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
43.8% (32)
-0.8%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
50.0% (4)
-18.4%
On power play, Zuccarello has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Zary is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Zary shoots left. Zuccarello is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Zary
Zuccarello
Home
43.5% (69)
30.0% (20)
Away
39.1% (64)
62.5% (16)
By Period
Zary
Zuccarello
P1
46.0%
42.1%
P2
40.0%
36.4%
P3
36.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
41.4%
Zuccarello
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Mats Zuccarello |