Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.7% vs Zuccarello 40.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zuccarello 68.1%
Defensive zone
Zary 58.9%
Neutral zone
Zuccarello 55.7%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Zary
Zuccarello
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zary
Zuccarello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zuccarello
0
1
Zary
Zuccarello
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (425)
38.6% (420)
+1.9%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
36.1% (61)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Zary is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (276).
Zary shoots left. Zuccarello is 35.8% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Zary
Zuccarello
Home
40.6% (283)
36.8% (258)
Away
39.0% (200)
39.3% (244)
By Period
Zary
Zuccarello
P1
39.3%
34.0%
P2
36.5%
36.3%
P3
44.7%
46.3%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
34.3%
27.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
40.0%
Zuccarello
38.0%▼
39.5%
38.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Mats Zuccarello |