Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 59.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 70.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 60.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Lazar
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lazar
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
50.1% (1,051)
+2.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
58.3% (120)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
41.9% (227)
-8.6%
On power play, Lazar has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lazar is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Lazar shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Lazar
Zibanejad
Home
57.1% (119)
49.0% (681)
Away
47.1% (153)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Lazar
Zibanejad
P1
53.1%
49.9%
P2
52.2%
47.6%
P3
48.8%
51.1%
Final 5 min
42.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.5%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |