Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 52.0%). Lazar wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 53.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 59.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Lazar
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
52.9% (870)
-1.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.5% (43)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
46.2% (143)
+1.0%
On power play, Lazar has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lazar is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Lazar
Zibanejad
Home
49.7% (163)
55.1% (501)
Away
52.3% (237)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Lazar
Zibanejad
P1
46.9%
57.5%
P2
53.3%
50.7%
P3
53.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.3%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |