Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.3%). Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 51.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Lazar
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Zibanejad
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Lazar
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Lazar
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
50.9% (913)
-2.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
59.0% (39)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
37.5% (160)
+12.5%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Lazar
Zibanejad
Home
49.2% (189)
51.1% (536)
Away
48.3% (176)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Lazar
Zibanejad
P1
50.8%
50.1%
P2
45.2%
47.3%
P3
50.0%
50.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |