Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Frost 50.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 72.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 81.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Lazar
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Lazar
Frost
Last 10: Lazar 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
4
Lazar
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
2
Lazar
Frost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
4
Lazar
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
49.7% (3,652)
+0.5%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
55.4% (632)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
55.0% (40)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,288).
Lazar shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Lazar
Frost
Home
50.1% (1,549)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Lazar
Frost
P1
48.9%
51.2%
P2
48.9%
51.3%
P3
49.5%
48.8%
OT
56.5%
64.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |