Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 56.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 61.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Lazar
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lazar
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
52.3% (982)
-1.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
41.9% (43)
-41.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
39.2% (245)
-1.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Lazar
Kuraly
Home
43.5% (131)
50.3% (680)
Away
53.7% (147)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Lazar
Kuraly
P1
53.8%
49.5%
P2
50.5%
49.6%
P3
41.2%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |