Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 69.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 68.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Lazar
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Lazar
Kuraly
Last 10: Lazar 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
5
1
Lazar
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
4
Lazar
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
51.6% (5,161)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
56.4% (101)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
44.4% (1,091)
-2.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,288).
Lazar shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Lazar
Kuraly
Home
50.1% (1,549)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Lazar
Kuraly
P1
48.9%
51.2%
P2
48.9%
50.0%
P3
49.5%
50.2%
OT
56.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |