Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 69.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Lazar
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Lazar
Kuraly
Last 10: Lazar 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
5
1
Lazar
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
4
Lazar
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
51.5% (5,067)
-1.7%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
56.0% (100)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
44.0% (1,063)
-2.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lazar is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,244).
Lazar shoots right. Kuraly is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,194).
Home / Away
Lazar
Kuraly
Home
50.0% (1,541)
51.7% (3,152)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
48.7% (3,079)
By Period
Lazar
Kuraly
P1
48.4%
50.8%
P2
48.8%
50.0%
P3
49.1%
49.9%
OT
56.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |