Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 52.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 52.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Lazar
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lazar
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Lazar
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
55.3% (515)
-3.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
55.6% (9)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
44.8% (58)
+2.4%
On power play, Lazar has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Lazar
Kuraly
Home
49.7% (163)
57.3% (293)
Away
52.3% (237)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Lazar
Kuraly
P1
46.9%
53.8%
P2
53.3%
51.5%
P3
53.3%
57.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |