Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Monahan 54.5% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 80.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 68.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Lazar
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lazar
Monahan
Last 6: Lazar 4-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Lazar
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
57.1% (871)
-8.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
53.1% (262)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
44.6% (139)
+5.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Lazar
Monahan
Home
49.2% (189)
55.3% (644)
Away
48.3% (176)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Lazar
Monahan
P1
50.8%
53.9%
P2
45.2%
55.3%
P3
50.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
48.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |