Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Monahan 52.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 79.6%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Lazar
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lazar
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lazar
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lazar
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
53.0% (874)
+10.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.7% (161)
-54.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
47.5% (101)
+8.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Lazar
Monahan
Home
63.0% (135)
53.8% (558)
Away
59.3% (118)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Lazar
Monahan
P1
64.6%
49.5%
P2
60.0%
54.8%
P3
59.3%
52.8%
Final 5 min
67.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |