Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Monahan 51.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 76.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 73.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Lazar
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Lazar
Monahan
Last 10: Lazar 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Lazar
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
5
1
Lazar
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
51.1% (11,407)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
53.6% (2,582)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
45.9% (772)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,288).
Lazar shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Lazar
Monahan
Home
50.1% (1,549)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Lazar
Monahan
P1
48.9%
51.0%
P2
48.9%
51.7%
P3
49.5%
51.0%
OT
56.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |