Scouting Report
David Gustafsson holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Gustafsson wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 53.1% vs Roy 47.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gustafsson 80.9%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 71.3%
Neutral zone
Gustafsson 72.4%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Gustafsson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Gustafsson
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
2
0
Gustafsson
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (174)
47.5% (617)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
46.4% (97)
-6.4%
On even strength, Gustafsson has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Gustafsson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Gustafsson shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Roy
Home
51.5% (103)
47.2% (398)
Away
58.2% (91)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Gustafsson
Roy
P1
60.0%
48.6%
P2
58.9%
48.8%
P3
47.4%
43.9%
Final 5 min
57.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
54.6%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |