Scouting Report
David Gustafsson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 50.0% vs Roy 47.9% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Roy 62.6%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 58.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Gustafsson
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (180)
48.6% (679)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
34.7% (49)
-1.4%
On even strength, Gustafsson has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Gustafsson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Gustafsson shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Roy
Home
52.9% (104)
49.3% (345)
Away
46.8% (94)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Gustafsson
Roy
P1
57.1%
47.6%
P2
41.3%
47.1%
P3
51.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
45.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.0%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.7%