Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Geekie 49.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 79.3%
Defensive zone
Mercer 55.3%
Neutral zone
Mercer 61.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Mercer
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mercer
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Mercer
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Mercer
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
49.9% (505)
-6.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
0.0% (6)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
48.4% (93)
-19.8%
On power play, Mercer has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Geekie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Mercer
Geekie
Home
39.0% (82)
50.0% (314)
Away
45.8% (83)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Mercer
Geekie
P1
45.5%
51.3%
P2
44.0%
46.9%
P3
36.7%
49.5%
Final 5 min
36.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
42.4%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |