Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Geekie 47.7% (-7.0%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 57.8%
Defensive zone
Mercer 56.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.1%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Mercer
Geekie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
46.7% (120)
-7.9%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
48.6% (35)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
0.0% (3)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Mercer is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Mercer shoots right. Geekie is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Mercer
Geekie
Home
35.2% (145)
46.8% (77)
Away
43.2% (146)
45.7% (81)
By Period
Mercer
Geekie
P1
32.7%
42.4%
P2
42.7%
49.1%
P3
42.9%
47.6%
Final 5 min
39.2%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%