Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-17.3%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 57.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Mercer
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
57.1% (368)
-18.3%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
55.2% (96)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.0% (10)
+4.5%
On power play, Stamkos has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mercer is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Mercer shoots right. Stamkos is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Mercer
Stamkos
Home
35.2% (145)
53.9% (230)
Away
43.2% (146)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Mercer
Stamkos
P1
32.7%
56.7%
P2
42.7%
54.1%
P3
42.9%
59.2%
Final 5 min
39.2%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%