Dylan Cozens vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Pageau 55.0% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 69.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 69.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 56.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Cozens
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cozens
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Cozens
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
57.1% (905)
-10.4%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
55.2% (116)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
48.0% (204)
-5.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Cozens
Pageau
Home
46.2% (567)
57.0% (618)
Away
44.9% (579)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Cozens
Pageau
P1
46.5%
54.4%
P2
46.5%
61.0%
P3
44.2%
51.0%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |