Dylan Cozens vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Pageau 58.7% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 71.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 80.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Cozens
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cozens
Pageau
Last 8: Cozens 5-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
59.6% (711)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
64.0% (114)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
56.4% (163)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Cozens
Pageau
Home
49.5% (638)
59.3% (506)
Away
51.9% (522)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Cozens
Pageau
P1
51.9%
56.8%
P2
46.4%
64.4%
P3
54.2%
56.9%
OT
16.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.6%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |