Dylan Cozens vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Pageau 59.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 52.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 77.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Cozens
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cozens
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
59.4% (726)
-6.2%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
69.0% (42)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
59.7% (221)
-26.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Cozens is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cozens shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Cozens
Pageau
Home
54.8% (383)
58.4% (430)
Away
52.3% (354)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Cozens
Pageau
P1
56.0%
55.4%
P2
51.2%
61.8%
P3
53.9%
61.5%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |