Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs McLeod 50.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 50.3%
Defensive zone
Cozens 59.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 51.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Cozens
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cozens
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Cozens
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
51.3% (628)
-4.6%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
68.3% (41)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
30.6% (49)
+11.7%
On power play, McLeod has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Cozens
McLeod
Home
46.2% (567)
51.5% (394)
Away
44.9% (579)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Cozens
McLeod
P1
46.5%
51.5%
P2
46.5%
47.0%
P3
44.2%
54.3%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
45.5%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |