Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.4%). Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs McLeod 49.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 64.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 60.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 50.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Cozens
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
Cozens
McLeod
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
6
5
Cozens
McLeod
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
5
Cozens
McLeod
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
7
Cozens
McLeod
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
50.4% (3,376)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
50.7% (296)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
44.1% (644)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Cozens shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Cozens
McLeod
Home
48.3% (2,685)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Cozens
McLeod
P1
49.1%
50.8%
P2
47.8%
48.0%
P3
48.9%
50.0%
OT
34.3%
37.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |