Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs McLeod 47.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 90.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 51.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 75.2%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Cozens
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Cozens
McLeod
Last 10: Cozens 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Cozens
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
49.0% (827)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
44.0% (91)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.0% (272)
-9.7%
On power play, Cozens has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Cozens
McLeod
Home
54.8% (383)
48.5% (619)
Away
52.3% (354)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Cozens
McLeod
P1
56.0%
52.7%
P2
51.2%
43.9%
P3
53.9%
45.8%
OT
40.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |