Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Domi 50.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 67.1%
Defensive zone
Domi 58.7%
Neutral zone
Domi 60.0%
Result
Max Domi favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Larkin
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Larkin
Domi
Last 7: Larkin 3-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Larkin
Domi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Larkin
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
49.7% (394)
+6.2%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
51.7% (58)
+5.7%
On even strength, Larkin has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Larkin
Domi
Home
56.0% (654)
53.2% (235)
Away
54.8% (639)
46.5% (217)
By Period
Larkin
Domi
P1
54.4%
54.4%
P2
55.9%
46.6%
P3
55.2%
49.6%
OT
64.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
55.4%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Max Domi |