Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Domi 50.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 52.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 50.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 50.8%
Result
Max Domi favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Larkin
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Larkin
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Larkin
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
49.8% (297)
+1.3%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
60.0% (30)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Larkin
Domi
Home
51.7% (686)
51.1% (184)
Away
53.0% (658)
50.3% (143)
By Period
Larkin
Domi
P1
52.5%
45.9%
P2
52.7%
51.8%
P3
51.4%
55.1%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Max Domi |