Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 48.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Colton 49.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 51.6%
Neutral zone
Colton 52.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Larkin
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larkin
Colton
Last 5: Larkin 1-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Larkin
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
2
Larkin
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
49.2% (199)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
33.3% (9)
+18.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Larkin shoots left. Colton is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Larkin
Colton
Home
48.5% (388)
46.3% (121)
Away
50.6% (342)
51.7% (87)
By Period
Larkin
Colton
P1
52.1%
56.2%
P2
46.9%
46.8%
P3
49.2%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
49.5%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Ross Colton |