Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Colton 54.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 58.5%
Defensive zone
Colton 54.7%
Neutral zone
Colton 55.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Larkin
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Larkin
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
56.1% (173)
-2.5%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
56.3% (16)
+3.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Colton is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Larkin
Colton
Home
56.6% (700)
55.3% (94)
Away
52.1% (655)
56.8% (95)
By Period
Larkin
Colton
P1
55.4%
48.1%
P2
54.7%
62.5%
P3
52.7%
57.1%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
54.4%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Ross Colton |