Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Colton 49.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 60.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 56.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.4%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Larkin
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Larkin
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
47.3% (91)
+3.8%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
71.4% (7)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
0.0% (1)
+48.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Larkin
Colton
Home
51.7% (686)
46.9% (49)
Away
53.0% (658)
50.0% (50)
By Period
Larkin
Colton
P1
52.5%
56.4%
P2
52.7%
47.1%
P3
51.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Ross Colton |