Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 53.4%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Carrick 53.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 87.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 86.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 50.5%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Strome
Carrick
Last 6: Strome 4-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Strome
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
53.9% (521)
-3.3%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
57.1% (35)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
51.5% (229)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
51.9% (700)
52.7% (408)
Away
53.9% (620)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
51.6%
51.4%
P2
53.0%
56.6%
P3
54.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
52.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |