Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 52.3%). Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Carrick 52.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 21-21 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 88.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 87.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.9%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
21
(42 meetings)
21
21
Strome
Carrick
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
16
2
Strome
Carrick
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
16
Strome
Carrick
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
4
3
Strome
Carrick
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
52.2% (2,544)
-2.1%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
61.3% (75)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
50.8% (435)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,688).
Strome shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
51.1% (3,968)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
50.5%
51.8%
P2
52.3%
52.3%
P3
52.3%
52.6%
OT
52.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |