Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.2%). Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Carrick 53.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 90.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 85.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 57.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Strome
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Strome
Carrick
Last 7: Strome 3-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Strome
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Strome
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
53.8% (654)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
0.0% (2)
+56.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
63.9% (36)
-1.4%
On power play, Strome has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Strome shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Strome
Carrick
Home
53.4% (653)
50.0% (328)
Away
53.9% (634)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Strome
Carrick
P1
49.3%
56.7%
P2
54.6%
51.1%
P3
56.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
53.7%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |