Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 48.0% vs Paul 50.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 63.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 69.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Luostarinen
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Luostarinen
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Luostarinen
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (58)
48.8% (666)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.8% (65)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
60.0% (55)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Luostarinen shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Paul
Home
46.2% (39)
49.7% (348)
Away
44.1% (34)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Luostarinen
Paul
P1
48.4%
51.0%
P2
41.7%
47.4%
P3
44.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
37.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
42.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |