Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Luostarinen wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Paul 52.2% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 70.1%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 77.5%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 73.4%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Luostarinen
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Luostarinen
Paul
Last 10: Luostarinen 3-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Luostarinen
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Luostarinen
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
3
Luostarinen
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (1,784)
52.6% (3,823)
-8.0%
Power Play
43.5% (69)
56.2% (484)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (206)
46.9% (576)
-9.0%
On power play, Paul has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,369).
Luostarinen shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Paul
Home
44.8% (1,015)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
43.0% (1,044)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Luostarinen
Paul
P1
43.0%
53.8%
P2
45.4%
51.0%
P3
43.2%
52.2%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |