Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 46.5% vs Paul 53.6% (-10.6%)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 58.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Luostarinen
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (92)
53.7% (354)
-8.0%
Power Play
45.0% (20)
59.0% (61)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
52.9% (34)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Luostarinen shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Paul
Home
44.4% (36)
55.1% (216)
Away
43.3% (90)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Luostarinen
Paul
P1
38.9%
54.9%
P2
44.7%
54.5%
P3
45.1%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%