Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.1%). Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 60.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 55.0%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 53.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Pettersson
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Pettersson
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Pettersson
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
51.5% (594)
-1.1%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
51.7% (87)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
28.6% (14)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pavelski
Home
50.7% (420)
53.1% (339)
Away
50.9% (379)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Pettersson
Pavelski
P1
48.0%
53.8%
P2
47.6%
47.8%
P3
57.5%
50.2%
OT
30.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
50.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |