Elias Pettersson vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.8% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 84.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 91.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 91.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Pettersson
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Pettersson
Pavelski
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
5
Pettersson
Pavelski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
6
Pettersson
Pavelski
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
3
Pettersson
Pavelski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (4,409)
53.6% (8,791)
-8.6%
Power Play
55.0% (513)
58.2% (2,122)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (234)
50.9% (1,138)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Pettersson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,679).
Pettersson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pavelski
Home
46.5% (2,603)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
44.9% (2,553)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Pettersson
Pavelski
P1
44.5%
53.5%
P2
45.6%
55.2%
P3
47.3%
53.9%
OT
40.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |