Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Hartman 44.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 53.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 55.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 52.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Pettersson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pettersson
Hartman
Last 7: Pettersson 4-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Pettersson
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
42.6% (495)
+1.5%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
38.5% (26)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
48.8% (43)
-14.0%
On power play, Pettersson has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Pettersson is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pettersson shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hartman
Home
45.0% (489)
43.4% (288)
Away
43.7% (508)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Pettersson
Hartman
P1
46.0%
43.1%
P2
45.7%
43.4%
P3
42.2%
42.0%
OT
23.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.3%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |