Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 47.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Hartman 48.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 63.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 54.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 50.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Pettersson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pettersson
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Pettersson
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
48.1% (520)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
44.7% (47)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
47.8% (23)
+4.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pettersson shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hartman
Home
48.1% (489)
48.3% (360)
Away
46.9% (475)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Pettersson
Hartman
P1
47.4%
48.5%
P2
48.3%
45.2%
P3
46.6%
49.6%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |