Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Hartman 45.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 65.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 52.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Pettersson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pettersson
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
45.1% (874)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
47.4% (95)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
37.5% (16)
-1.8%
On power play, Pettersson has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hartman
Home
49.1% (607)
45.0% (515)
Away
44.7% (595)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Pettersson
Hartman
P1
45.5%
47.3%
P2
48.0%
40.1%
P3
47.1%
48.3%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |