Elias Pettersson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 86.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 80.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
56.1% (690)
-12.0%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
64.6% (96)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
45.9% (109)
-11.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Home
45.0% (489)
58.3% (408)
Away
43.7% (508)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Pettersson
O'Reilly
P1
46.0%
57.7%
P2
45.7%
54.8%
P3
42.2%
55.2%
OT
23.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.3%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |