Elias Pettersson vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 28 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 38-28 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 77.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 85.0%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 89.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
38
(66 meetings)
28
38
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
11
12
Pettersson
O'Reilly
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
9
19
Pettersson
O'Reilly
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
8
7
Pettersson
O'Reilly
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (4,409)
56.2% (15,103)
-11.2%
Power Play
55.0% (513)
58.7% (3,395)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (234)
51.6% (2,769)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pettersson is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,477).
Pettersson shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,728).
Home / Away
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Home
46.5% (2,603)
57.6% (10,669)
Away
44.9% (2,553)
54.4% (10,631)
By Period
Pettersson
O'Reilly
P1
44.5%
55.5%
P2
45.6%
57.0%
P3
47.3%
55.2%
OT
40.3%
62.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.7%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |