Elias Pettersson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 60.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 68.0%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 62.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Pettersson 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Pettersson
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
5
Pettersson
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
55.0% (1,084)
-4.6%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
56.8% (303)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
40.3% (149)
+0.6%
On power play, Pettersson has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Home
50.7% (420)
54.8% (759)
Away
50.9% (379)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Pettersson
O'Reilly
P1
48.0%
55.3%
P2
47.6%
51.9%
P3
57.5%
54.2%
OT
30.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
50.8%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |