Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.1%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Haula wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Aho 53.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 75.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 72.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 52.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Haula
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Haula
Aho
Last 10: Haula 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
7
Haula
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Haula
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Haula
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
51.2% (785)
+6.4%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
63.8% (213)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
57.9% (57)
-12.4%
On power play, Aho has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Haula shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Haula
Aho
Home
56.3% (449)
54.9% (548)
Away
53.3% (443)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Haula
Aho
P1
58.4%
52.8%
P2
54.9%
58.9%
P3
52.0%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Erik Haula |