Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Aho 54.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 64.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 76.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 58.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Haula
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Haula
Aho
Last 7: Haula 3-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Haula
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
54.5% (870)
-1.6%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
62.4% (266)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (75)
37.1% (62)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Haula shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Haula
Aho
Home
54.2% (345)
53.9% (603)
Away
51.1% (374)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Haula
Aho
P1
55.8%
54.1%
P2
48.0%
55.0%
P3
54.1%
57.4%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.6%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |