Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Aho 51.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 46-34 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 70.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 65.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 50.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Haula
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
46
(80 meetings)
34
46
Haula
Aho
Last 10: Haula 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
11
24
Haula
Aho
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
11
5
Haula
Aho
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
12
17
Haula
Aho
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
50.2% (6,646)
+2.6%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
58.9% (1,310)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
46.5% (465)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Haula shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Haula
Aho
Home
53.4% (4,520)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Haula
Aho
P1
53.2%
51.1%
P2
51.4%
52.1%
P3
52.6%
50.8%
OT
43.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |