Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Evans 51.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 82.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 55.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 64.3%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Rodrigues
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Rodrigues
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Rodrigues
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Rodrigues
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
54.5% (483)
-0.1%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
58.3% (12)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
43.9% (155)
-7.8%
On power play, Evans has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Rodrigues is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Rodrigues shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Evans
Home
47.9% (119)
49.4% (336)
Away
50.8% (122)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Rodrigues
Evans
P1
53.8%
55.8%
P2
51.9%
51.7%
P3
43.2%
48.2%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |