Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Evans 55.0% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 71.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 79.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Rodrigues
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
55.6% (522)
-7.8%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
72.7% (11)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
55.2% (210)
-18.4%
On power play, Evans has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Rodrigues shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Evans
Home
47.9% (445)
54.7% (402)
Away
45.4% (346)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Rodrigues
Evans
P1
48.3%
57.9%
P2
47.0%
55.2%
P3
44.8%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%