Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Evans 52.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 87.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 52.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 69.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Rodrigues
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Rodrigues
Evans
Last 10: Rodrigues 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
5
Rodrigues
Evans
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
53.7% (3,740)
-7.5%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
60.6% (71)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
47.1% (1,228)
-4.4%
On power play, Evans has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Rodrigues shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Evans
Home
47.1% (1,836)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Rodrigues
Evans
P1
46.9%
54.0%
P2
46.1%
50.9%
P3
44.4%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |