Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Staal 54.2% (-9.5%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 66.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Rodrigues
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
57.0% (1,017)
-11.4%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
57.7% (26)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
45.1% (286)
+4.9%
On power play, Staal has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Staal
Home
46.5% (142)
54.3% (667)
Away
43.6% (140)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Rodrigues
Staal
P1
42.9%
56.2%
P2
50.0%
57.0%
P3
42.4%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.0%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%