Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Staal 54.6% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 57.2%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 66.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 57.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Rodrigues
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Rodrigues
Staal
Last 10: Rodrigues 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
6
Rodrigues
Staal
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
4
Rodrigues
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
2
Rodrigues
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
56.2% (989)
-8.4%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
66.0% (159)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
42.7% (253)
-5.9%
On power play, Staal has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Staal
Home
47.9% (445)
55.4% (699)
Away
45.4% (346)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Rodrigues
Staal
P1
48.3%
55.7%
P2
47.0%
54.7%
P3
44.8%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | OT | 04:36 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | OT | 01:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |